Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.267718 2.404276 2.548159 2.711637 2.892945 3.088696 3.317145
2026-01-11 2.054943 2.244368 2.454124 2.705769 3.002408 3.344789 3.775633
2026-01-18 1.952223 2.175716 2.431859 2.751377 3.145541 3.624748 4.266169
2026-01-25 2.022393 2.304862 2.641340 3.080468 3.652562 4.394838 5.472668
2026-02-01 1.874097 2.157742 2.501699 2.960283 3.573811 4.396392 5.643250
2026-02-08 1.739700 2.018149 2.360309 2.823909 3.456908 4.327661 5.693943
2026-02-15 1.665287 1.948434 2.301681 2.789316 3.471273 4.438711 6.022774
2026-02-22 1.588136 1.870669 2.227384 2.727190 3.439859 4.476909 6.237527
2026-03-01 1.509816 1.787551 2.141439 2.643034 3.369218 4.447573 6.333154
2026-03-08 1.428938 1.697818 2.042615 2.535290 3.256277 4.342561 6.283305
2026-03-15 1.394734 1.667617 2.021528 2.534589 3.300151 4.484682 6.687956
2026-03-22 1.348456 1.619540 1.973984 2.493228 3.279137 4.519478 6.898643
2026-03-29 1.284957 1.550662 1.901099 2.420289 3.218385 4.505777 7.062406
2026-04-05 1.247521 1.515865 1.874246 2.414011 3.262973 4.678270 7.644745
2026-04-12 1.227903 1.503857 1.877784 2.451917 3.379938 4.990568 8.606926
2026-04-19 1.279691 1.591916 2.027395 2.722780 3.913005 6.168954 12.131740
2026-04-26 1.221157 1.522763 1.945324 2.624277 3.797185 6.053359 12.193511
2026-05-03 1.162334 1.451368 1.857342 2.511925 3.648677 5.853802 11.957580
2026-05-10 1.130106 1.416765 1.822421 2.483325 3.649226 5.969393 12.738446
2026-05-17 1.093717 1.374991 1.775127 2.431860 3.603496 5.978715 13.187082
2026-05-24 1.054432 1.327926 1.718279 2.361931 3.518429 5.890929 13.279145
2026-05-31 1.011762 1.274942 1.650995 2.272039 3.390617 5.694649 12.933940
2026-06-07 0.994363 1.258056 1.637706 2.271453 3.432040 5.890886 14.123469